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by Robert Williams, Publisher
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
It’s incredible how fast the tables can turn sometimes. Eighteen months ago, at the height of the Agriboom, supply shortages turned our nation’s farms into virtual ATMs.
Farmers couldn’t grow their respective crops fast enough. Farm incomes were pushed about 30% higher than the average wage for all workers. And thanks to the accompanying rise in property values, the average net worth of a full-time farmer mushroomed to $830,000. (U.S. farmers earned a record $80.4 billion after expenses in 2008.)
Even colleges with Agricultural majors saw big upticks in enrollment.
Well, proving again that trends typically swing back to their historical means, we recently got the latest data on farming. And it isn’t good for farmers.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture expects farm income this year – when adjusted for inflation – to be 39% lower than last year’s record high. If they’re right, it would mark the worst annual percentage drop since 1983. Ouch.
Who wins? Consumers.
Across the board, prices are down. For example, the same gallon of milk that cost about $3.89 last year is now only $2.98, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Now if these grocery store bargains aren’t enough, and you really want to exploit the agriculture space for big profits, check out Lee Lowell’s article.
And remember, Lee spent six years in the trading pits of the NYMEX, where daily commodities prices are set. So a thorough read is likely in order.
Ahead of the tape,
Robert Williams
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In addition to once being a full-time trader of equities and equity derivatives, Robert Williams has also served as the lead financial analyst for a Forbes top-50 private corporation and an analyst for the endowment of a major academic institution.
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