The Investment U E-Letter: Issue # 291 Friday, November 21, 2003 Daniel Drew: 3 Secrets That Helped Him Become one of America's Richest Men By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud, President, Investment U Daniel Drew was bigger than Warren Buffett and Alan Greenspan combined back in his day
Sure, Drew was a real dirtbag
He cheated his fellow church parishioners out of money. He was a director of one of the biggest companies in America, yet consistently bet against it in the stock market for huge profits. In short, he was a bad dude. But Daniel Drew became one of the richest men in America through trading stocks in the middle to late 1800s. In many ways times were much different
Drew rode a horse to Wall Street! And there was no SEC, no Eliot Spitzer, and no Federal Reserve. But in many ways, things were EXACTLY the same then as they are today
And the secrets Drew used nearly 150 years ago to build his fortune are the exact same ones that work right now. Drew revealed those secrets in The Book of Daniel Drew. Let's consider a few of them today, and how we can use them to generate wealth like he did
Daniel Drew's 3 Secrets: Clean Strategies from a Dirty Player 1) "The money market is the key to the stock market. They who control the money rate also control the stock[s]." Drew was right
but it's amazing that he understood this 150 years ago
before there was a Federal Reserve controlling the money rate. For proof of how right he is even today, consider this
When interest rates are rising, you don't make money in stocks. Over the 17 years from 1964 to 1981, the Dow (the stock market) gained less than one point (874.1 to 875). During that time, interest rates rose from 4% to 14%. Now consider the next 17 years - from 1981 to 1998. Interest rates did nothing but fall. And the Dow went from 875 to over 9,000. Today, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has forced interest rates to their lowest levels in 40 years. So stock prices are rallying this year. Daniel Drew knew the secret 150 years ago
he who controls the money market controls the stock market. The big question is, how much more room does Greenspan have to lower rates? Not much
2) "The way to make money in Wall Street is to calculate on what the common people are going to do, and then go and do just the opposite." Drew was a master of this. If he were around in 2000, he would have been betting on a crash, as "the common people" were all buying stocks. For a few ideas today, "the common people" don't want anything to do with gold coins and commodity investments yet. So I've been buying in this area. And "the common people" are still heavily invested in the stock market, thinking that's the only game in town. So I'm generally avoiding stocks. When you can determine that most people are all doing the same thing with their money, don't consider it as a comfortable investment - chances are, the big gains are already behind you there. 3) "I ought to have [closed my position] without a moment's delay - cut short your losses and let your profits run, is the rule." Wow
I'm confident the "cut your losses and let your profits run" rule is the difference between successful investors and those who'll never make any money. I just didn't know that it was known and solidly established 150 years ago
You'd think that a rule so well known wouldn't work anymore. But people never seem to learn
most folks take a quick profit when they see it, and they hang onto their losses - exactly the opposite of what they should be doing. So let's review
- "The money market is the key to the stock market. They who control the money rate also control the stock[s]."
- "The way to make money in Wall Street is to calculate on what the common people are going to do, and then go and do just the opposite."
- "Cut short your losses and let your profits run, is the rule."
These rules made Daniel Drew enormously wealthy. They were the path to real wealth in investing 150 years ago. And they are still the best rules to follow today. They say human nature doesn't change - the emotions of greed and fear still overpower the rational ideas of the "right" way to do things, like invest. When you get caught up in the excitement of an investment, or of the times, go back and review these three rules. If you consistently stick to them, you might just join Daniel Drew in the ranks of legendary investors
Today's IU Cribsheet - I would highly recommend that you add The Book of Daniel Drew to your investing library. For more information, or to order Daniel Drew's masterwork, just visit www.fraserbooks.com and click on "Specials."
- For more information on specific ways to follow the third rule mentioned above (the one about cutting your losses short and letting your winners ride), check out IU E-Letter #250 - Getting Out With A Profit.
- I also want to tell you about an event that is near and dear to me, the Oxford Club's Annual Investment University, March 10-14, 2004, in Delray Beach, FL. This four-day immersion-learning experience will prove invaluable to anyone interested in investing, from novices to veterans. Tailored for those who want to really understand the fundamentals of smart investing, Investment University will also bring you some of the world's most accomplished investment pros-while teaching you how to increase your bottom line, step-by-step. Please join The Oxford Club's Investment Director Alexander Green, Dr. Van Tharp, Porter Stansberry, Karim Rahemtulla and yours truly for 2004's premier investment event. Your IU tuition includes an opening reception, educational sessions and workshops, continental breakfasts each morning, all 'in-class' and 'take-home' reference materials and the Farewell Dinner. To reserve your place, call our Conference Director, Barbara Perriello, today at (800) 926-6575 (toll-free) or (561) 243-6276 or fax (561) 278-8765.
Good investing, Steve P.S. Daniel Drew was also a legendary short seller
take a look at Investment U e-Letter # 424 for an in-depth discussion on short selling stocks. |