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	<title>Comments on: The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your Investment Portfolio</title>
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	<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html</link>
	<description>Investment Advice and Investment Research with a Contrarian Point of View</description>
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		<title>By: How Cockiness Destroys Your Portfolio &#124; Daily Capital</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-169322</link>
		<dc:creator>How Cockiness Destroys Your Portfolio &#124; Daily Capital</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Nov 2011 18:36:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-169322</guid>
		<description>[...] first tendency illustrates “recency bias” while the second shows overconfidence. Using historic data, the range should be more than 80 [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] first tendency illustrates “recency bias” while the second shows overconfidence. Using historic data, the range should be more than 80 [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Value &#124; Above the Market</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-151074</link>
		<dc:creator>Value &#124; Above the Market</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Oct 2011 18:14:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-151074</guid>
		<description>[...] for us to trade successfully and extremely difficult to invest successfully over the longer-term.  Recency bias and confirmation bias – to name just two – conspire to inhibit our analysis and subdue [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] for us to trade successfully and extremely difficult to invest successfully over the longer-term.  Recency bias and confirmation bias – to name just two – conspire to inhibit our analysis and subdue [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Euro versus the Dollar - All Hype and No Change - CBS MoneyWatch.com</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-54422</link>
		<dc:creator>Euro versus the Dollar - All Hype and No Change - CBS MoneyWatch.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jun 2010 13:43:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-54422</guid>
		<description>[...] short, investors used recency bias to buy high and sell low in a market that barely budged over the entire [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] short, investors used recency bias to buy high and sell low in a market that barely budged over the entire [...]</p>
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		<title>By: The Financial Media Hypothesis (FMH) - CBS MoneyWatch.com</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-33764</link>
		<dc:creator>The Financial Media Hypothesis (FMH) - CBS MoneyWatch.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jan 2010 15:33:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-33764</guid>
		<description>[...] we overweight recent events and discount events that occurred years earlier. This bias is known as recency bias. With this bias, combined with fear and greed, we tend to chase performance and consistently buy [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] we overweight recent events and discount events that occurred years earlier. This bias is known as recency bias. With this bias, combined with fear and greed, we tend to chase performance and consistently buy [...]</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Recency bias &#124; The Middle Game</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-3743</link>
		<dc:creator>Recency bias &#124; The Middle Game</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2009 20:18:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-3743</guid>
		<description>[...] unchecked, recency bias can distort our investment decisions:  Still, recency bias convinces them that earning next to nothing is better than losing [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] unchecked, recency bias can distort our investment decisions:  Still, recency bias convinces them that earning next to nothing is better than losing [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Richard Moore</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-1326</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard Moore</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 13:28:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-1326</guid>
		<description>Regarding &quot;Recency Bias:...&quot; 

I am always looking for countervailing trends taht may catch both the &quot;herd&quot; and the talking heads by surprise. Sometimes it will be a market observation or perhaps a &quot;real world&quot; observation...&quot;who is going to shop in all these new stores and eat at all the new restaurants that have sprouted in reccent years...or What? Another electronic store!. 

In any case this past weekend I saw signs that some of the 9 Trillion sitting on the sidelines was being put back to work. I own an 1865 home that places me often in Home Depot (HD), in fact some have observed that HD may be my second property given the time I spend there. 

Since July or so and more so since September (can you say &quot;Lehman Collapse&quot;) I have been able to get front row parking and sashay up to the lineless registers on any day. 

This past weekend after parking in the outer reaches of the parking lot and waiting in line to cash out at HD. I headed to Panera Bread for lunch. The mall road was as busy as the weekend before Christmas (in a good year) and Panera&#039;s  was packed with people with not a single table available. 

We should not be overcome with irrational exhuberance but I believe that the American consumer/investor is fulfilling many delayed purchases and enjoying some of the simpler weekend activities. Soon we will see reports of declining inventories and profit and revenue increasing slowly but convincingly...as part of that 9 Trillion goes to work at the mall and the market.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Regarding &#8220;Recency Bias:&#8230;&#8221; </p>
<p>I am always looking for countervailing trends taht may catch both the &#8220;herd&#8221; and the talking heads by surprise. Sometimes it will be a market observation or perhaps a &#8220;real world&#8221; observation&#8230;&#8221;who is going to shop in all these new stores and eat at all the new restaurants that have sprouted in reccent years&#8230;or What? Another electronic store!. </p>
<p>In any case this past weekend I saw signs that some of the 9 Trillion sitting on the sidelines was being put back to work. I own an 1865 home that places me often in Home Depot (HD), in fact some have observed that HD may be my second property given the time I spend there. </p>
<p>Since July or so and more so since September (can you say &#8220;Lehman Collapse&#8221;) I have been able to get front row parking and sashay up to the lineless registers on any day. </p>
<p>This past weekend after parking in the outer reaches of the parking lot and waiting in line to cash out at HD. I headed to Panera Bread for lunch. The mall road was as busy as the weekend before Christmas (in a good year) and Panera&#8217;s  was packed with people with not a single table available. </p>
<p>We should not be overcome with irrational exhuberance but I believe that the American consumer/investor is fulfilling many delayed purchases and enjoying some of the simpler weekend activities. Soon we will see reports of declining inventories and profit and revenue increasing slowly but convincingly&#8230;as part of that 9 Trillion goes to work at the mall and the market.</p>
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		<title>By: The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; &#124; fixedinvest.com</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-1152</link>
		<dc:creator>The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; &#124; fixedinvest.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2009 10:29:39 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; [...]</p>
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		<title>By: The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; &#124; beginnerforex.com</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-1151</link>
		<dc:creator>The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; &#124; beginnerforex.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2009 04:35:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-1151</guid>
		<description>[...] The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; [...]</p>
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		<title>By: The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; &#124; advisordebts.com</title>
		<link>http://www.investmentu.com/2009/January/investment-portfolio-2.html#comment-1150</link>
		<dc:creator>The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; &#124; advisordebts.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2009 01:41:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/January/the-recency-bias-and-your-investment-portfolio.html#comment-1150</guid>
		<description>[...] The Recency Bias: Why Your Subconscious Is Wreaking Havoc On Your &#8230; [...]</description>
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